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Economic data

Access detailed data and forecasts that propel your organization forward and drive effective strategies.

We specialize in helping you understand current economic trends and future conditions, so that you can make informed, confident decisions.

With our economic data, forecasts, scenarios, and analysis, we help your organization minimize risk and maximize revenue at every stage of the economic cycle.

Get in touch

What we do

We provide timely economic data, forecasts, analysis, and insights, helping your organization confidently navigate the global market and effectively mitigate risk.

01
Leverage our flexible resources

Leverage industry-leading economic data, forecasts, and research provided by expert economists through flexible technologies. Our customizable subscriptions deliver comprehensive data, robust analytics, and pivotal insights using web platforms, Excel, APIs, and more.

02
Access an experienced team

Access our knowledgeable and responsive client support team—including 100+ economists, analysts, and data specialists. Our extensive knowledge helps your organization execute sound strategies built on integrity, insight, and innovation.

03
Navigate complex economic conditions

Navigate the evolving financial landscape by analyzing current and future economic conditions to identify opportunities and risks. Our fully documented models and forecasts help you make decisions confidently, allocate resources efficiently, and reduce risk effectively.

Get in touch

Speak to our team today

Get in touch
Focus Economics

Leading the way in forecast accuracy - #1 in 28 categories

Award-winning economic and commodities forecasts to navigate the global market with confidence.

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How we help

01 Global historical data

Global historical data

Our global historical database comprises hundreds of millions of economic, demographic, and financial time series. It serves as a foundation for analysis, forecasting, and model development.


Highlighted features:

  • More than 600 million time series covering 180+ countries

  • The most current data from primary national and multi-national sources 

  • Timely updates guided by automated processes and rigorous quality assurance checks

  • Valuable data enhancements including seasonal adjustments, estimates, and history extensions

  • Documentation for each time series, including updated schedules and sources

 

Our powerful, web-based data platform is included with an economic data or forecast subscription. With it, you can view, manipulate, and automate the delivery of data, forecasts, and scenarios.


Highlighted features:

  • Gathers and downloads data by geography, release, and source

  • Transforms, charts, and exports our data in a variety of formats

  • Automates data delivery by email, SFTP, Amazon S3, API, or Excel

02 Global economic forecasts and scenarios

Global economic forecasts and scenarios

Our global economic forecasts and scenarios—built on our model methodology and our deep understanding of the global economy—help your organization perform “what-if?” analysis for risk management, compliance, and strategic planning.


Highlighted features:

  • Forecasts for 120+ countries, subnational areas, and regional aggregates

  • Includes a baseline forecast and 10 alternative scenarios as standard
     

  • Macroeconomic climate scenarios assessing threats from climate change
     

  • Documented model methodology, model validation, and scenario narratives
     

  • 30-year forecast horizon
     

  • Updated monthly


For those who need more tailored insights, we also develop custom scenarios leveraging our modeling and analytical expertise, allowing you to stress-test portfolios and assess risks according to your firm’s assumptions, exposures, and needs.


Highlighted features:

  • Designed to reflect your portfolios, geographic footprint, exposures, assumptions, and overall business model

  • Comprehensive set of detailed economic variables

  • Fully transparent and documented methodology

  • Multiple delivery options

03 Economic models

Economic models

Our Scenario Studio platform and global macroeconomic model power unique, user-generated scenarios that enable your organization to create your own custom scenarios—individually or as a team.


Highlighted features:

  • Web-based platform that hosts our global economic model with full transparency

  • Provides rigorous governance controls, including detailed audit trails

  • Seamless integration of forecasts into your workflow through Application Programming Interface (API) and Excel Add-In.

 

Our fully validated Global Macroeconomic Model allows your organization to produce high-quality forecasts and scenarios for 120+ countries/jurisdictions and regional aggregates.


Highlighted features:

  • Tests shocks and analyzes assumptions using a comprehensive structural model

  • Globally linked forecasts promote greater scenario consistency in trade flows, financial markets, prices, and investments

  • Balances economic theory with empirical forecasting performance

  • Forecasts for 12,000+ series, covering roughly 95% of global activity

  • Contributes to stability and consistency within the business cycle through regular diagnostics
     

  • Enables cross-country comparison through a standardized and integrated modeling approach

04 Economic research

Economic research

Our forward-looking economic research provides your organization with a comprehensive analysis of the global economy, as well as thought leadership on national and local trends and events.


Highlighted features:

  • Single source for real-time analysis of global economic and financial market data, events, trends, and risks

  • Analysis of more than 300 economic releases and key events 

  • Country risk scores and analysis for 190+ countries along multiple risk dimensions
     

  • Various formats including newsletters, outlooks, whitepapers, commentaries, trackers, and more  

  • Exclusive regional economic events, webinars, and podcasts

05 Advisory services

Advisory services

Moody's specializes in applying economics to your business, so you can make informed decisions that minimize risk and maximize revenue at every stage of the business cycle. Our economic advisory services help you optimize your decision making by leveraging our extensive forecasting and modeling expertise for specialized projects and engagements.

Connect with us to discuss your specific needs.

Global historical data

Our global historical database comprises hundreds of millions of economic, demographic, and financial time series. It serves as a foundation for analysis, forecasting, and model development.


Highlighted features:

  • More than 600 million time series covering 180+ countries

  • The most current data from primary national and multi-national sources 

  • Timely updates guided by automated processes and rigorous quality assurance checks

  • Valuable data enhancements including seasonal adjustments, estimates, and history extensions

  • Documentation for each time series, including updated schedules and sources

 

Our powerful, web-based data platform is included with an economic data or forecast subscription. With it, you can view, manipulate, and automate the delivery of data, forecasts, and scenarios.


Highlighted features:

  • Gathers and downloads data by geography, release, and source

  • Transforms, charts, and exports our data in a variety of formats

  • Automates data delivery by email, SFTP, Amazon S3, API, or Excel

Global economic forecasts and scenarios

Our global economic forecasts and scenarios—built on our model methodology and our deep understanding of the global economy—help your organization perform “what-if?” analysis for risk management, compliance, and strategic planning.


Highlighted features:

  • Forecasts for 120+ countries, subnational areas, and regional aggregates

  • Includes a baseline forecast and 10 alternative scenarios as standard
     

  • Macroeconomic climate scenarios assessing threats from climate change
     

  • Documented model methodology, model validation, and scenario narratives
     

  • 30-year forecast horizon
     

  • Updated monthly


For those who need more tailored insights, we also develop custom scenarios leveraging our modeling and analytical expertise, allowing you to stress-test portfolios and assess risks according to your firm’s assumptions, exposures, and needs.


Highlighted features:

  • Designed to reflect your portfolios, geographic footprint, exposures, assumptions, and overall business model

  • Comprehensive set of detailed economic variables

  • Fully transparent and documented methodology

  • Multiple delivery options

Economic models

Our Scenario Studio platform and global macroeconomic model power unique, user-generated scenarios that enable your organization to create your own custom scenarios—individually or as a team.


Highlighted features:

  • Web-based platform that hosts our global economic model with full transparency

  • Provides rigorous governance controls, including detailed audit trails

  • Seamless integration of forecasts into your workflow through Application Programming Interface (API) and Excel Add-In.

 

Our fully validated Global Macroeconomic Model allows your organization to produce high-quality forecasts and scenarios for 120+ countries/jurisdictions and regional aggregates.


Highlighted features:

  • Tests shocks and analyzes assumptions using a comprehensive structural model

  • Globally linked forecasts promote greater scenario consistency in trade flows, financial markets, prices, and investments

  • Balances economic theory with empirical forecasting performance

  • Forecasts for 12,000+ series, covering roughly 95% of global activity

  • Contributes to stability and consistency within the business cycle through regular diagnostics
     

  • Enables cross-country comparison through a standardized and integrated modeling approach

Economic research

Our forward-looking economic research provides your organization with a comprehensive analysis of the global economy, as well as thought leadership on national and local trends and events.


Highlighted features:

  • Single source for real-time analysis of global economic and financial market data, events, trends, and risks

  • Analysis of more than 300 economic releases and key events 

  • Country risk scores and analysis for 190+ countries along multiple risk dimensions
     

  • Various formats including newsletters, outlooks, whitepapers, commentaries, trackers, and more  

  • Exclusive regional economic events, webinars, and podcasts

Advisory services

Moody's specializes in applying economics to your business, so you can make informed decisions that minimize risk and maximize revenue at every stage of the business cycle. Our economic advisory services help you optimize your decision making by leveraging our extensive forecasting and modeling expertise for specialized projects and engagements.

Connect with us to discuss your specific needs.

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Who we help

01 Buy-side

Buy-side

We help portfolio managers and research analysts make better investment decisions in changing economic climates with our market-leading macroeconomic solutions.

Our data, scenarios, and analysis enable portfolio managers and research analysts to monitor financial and economic indicators, assess growth and demand for assets, identify market opportunities for expansion, and evaluate future risk and return on investments.

More on buy-side
02 Banking

Banking

We help banks and other financial institutions understand and manage risk, so that they can plan their investment, lending, and business strategies with confidence.

Our robust forecasts, scenarios, and insights assist banks with regulatory stress testing as well as Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS-9) and Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL) requirements.

More on banking
03 Corporations

Corporations

We help corporations make confident decisions in a world of uncertainty by offering robust tools that support a holistic view.

Our easy-to-access platform provides national and regional forecasts and timely insights. It enables corporations to monitor regional market performance and opportunities, anticipate demand and sales, and assess consumer credit risk.

More on corporations
04 Public sector

Public sector

We help sovereign and local governments, regulators, policymakers, central banks, and other government agencies make confident decisions in a complex economic landscape.

Our detailed models, forecasts, and scenarios enable governments to set policy, estimate tax revenues, identify emerging risks, and foster stability and growth.

More on public sector
05 Insurance

Insurance

Moody's Analytics extensive scenario modeling expertise and deep domain knowledge of the insurance market help insurers with their modeling requirements in many areas, such as:

  • Assessing the financial impact of climate change

  • Determining group-wide economic and regulatory capital requirements

  • Developing capital management strategies

  • Pricing complex embedded guarantees and options

     

These capabilities are fully transparent, integrated with our AXIS actuarial system, and supported by a range of content services.

Our scenario modeling framework ensures that clients can maintain consistent assumptions, aligned with current market prices, and extend them to cover all economies, risk factors, asset classes, and time horizons relevant to their assets, liabilities, and planning horizon.

More on insurance

Buy-side

We help portfolio managers and research analysts make better investment decisions in changing economic climates with our market-leading macroeconomic solutions.

Our data, scenarios, and analysis enable portfolio managers and research analysts to monitor financial and economic indicators, assess growth and demand for assets, identify market opportunities for expansion, and evaluate future risk and return on investments.

More on buy-side

Banking

We help banks and other financial institutions understand and manage risk, so that they can plan their investment, lending, and business strategies with confidence.

Our robust forecasts, scenarios, and insights assist banks with regulatory stress testing as well as Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS-9) and Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL) requirements.

More on banking

Corporations

We help corporations make confident decisions in a world of uncertainty by offering robust tools that support a holistic view.

Our easy-to-access platform provides national and regional forecasts and timely insights. It enables corporations to monitor regional market performance and opportunities, anticipate demand and sales, and assess consumer credit risk.

More on corporations

Public sector

We help sovereign and local governments, regulators, policymakers, central banks, and other government agencies make confident decisions in a complex economic landscape.

Our detailed models, forecasts, and scenarios enable governments to set policy, estimate tax revenues, identify emerging risks, and foster stability and growth.

More on public sector

Insurance

Moody's Analytics extensive scenario modeling expertise and deep domain knowledge of the insurance market help insurers with their modeling requirements in many areas, such as:

  • Assessing the financial impact of climate change

  • Determining group-wide economic and regulatory capital requirements

  • Developing capital management strategies

  • Pricing complex embedded guarantees and options

     

These capabilities are fully transparent, integrated with our AXIS actuarial system, and supported by a range of content services.

Our scenario modeling framework ensures that clients can maintain consistent assumptions, aligned with current market prices, and extend them to cover all economies, risk factors, asset classes, and time horizons relevant to their assets, liabilities, and planning horizon.

More on insurance

News and views

whitepaper
Moody's
GCC investment: Capitalising on diversification

This report examines the investment environment and tracks cross-border investment project, or CIP, flows in the GCC in 2023 using a unique dataset: the Moody’s Orbis Crossborder Investment Database.

  • Macroeconomics
Read more
whitepaper
Moody's
Nearshoring and potential trade triangulation

Exploring nearshoring's impact in North America, this paper examines Mexico's role and the risk of trade triangulation amid evolving global dynamics.

Read more
whitepaper
Moody's
Assessing the macroeconomic consequences of Biden vs. Trump

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump will pursue very different economic policies if reelected. Both have put forward a wide range of proposals to change the tax code, government spending, and trade, immigration and regulatory policies that if implemented could have significant impacts on the economy’s performance for years to come.

Read more
article
Moody's
Strong U.S. economy helps balance spending

High-income households dominate spending, but the strong labor market is supporting spending by lower-income households.

  • Macroeconomics
Read more
article
Moody's
Global energy outlook: Saudi squeeze

We expect OPEC+ to maintain its production cuts through 2024, but we expect Saudi Arabia to end its excess 1 million-bpd cut.

  • Macroeconomics
Read more
article
Moody's
No surprise in September CPI

September's consumer price index, as Moody's expected, showed a 0.4% monthly increase that held the annual inflation rate at 3.7%.

  • Macroeconomics
Read more
article
Moody's
Where things will be made: Supply-chain shifts and the great decoupling

U.S.-China decoupling is underway, but only a small cohort of economies stands to gain.

  • Macroeconomics
Read more

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