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Catastrophe risk insights 

Not only are catastrophes becoming increasingly frequent and severe, their impact can trigger a cascade of interconnected risks. Delve into Moody's latest insights on recent catastrophic events.

Featured insights 

Latest insights on catastrophe risk 

research

Nov 07, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Valencia faces economic hit from floods but crisis funds to cushion adverse credit impact

While Spanish government aid will help mitigate recovery costs, the sheer scale of flood damage to infrastructure and economic activity remains credit negative for the country's southeastern regions.

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research

Oct 30, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Low-income economies will struggle to fill climate finance gap, magnifying credit risks

While early climate investment has economic, financial and credit benefits, emerging markets face stark choices balancing limited financing against other social and development priorities.

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research

Oct 29, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Rising insurance expenses pose risk to commercial property cash flow

The increased frequency of severe weather events is driving up the insurance costs of CMBS properties, particularly multifamily properties in Gulf Coast states. 

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research

Oct 23, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Reinsurance pricing unlikely to retreat following back-to-back US hurricanes

Given the elevated level of insured catastrophe losses globally, losses from Hurricanes Helene and Milton should help stabilize property catastrophe reinsurance pricing ahead of January 2025 renewals.

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Global Event Response: Recent catastrophes from around the world

Get up-to-date information from our experts about recent natural catastrophes around the world.

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research

Oct 18, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Securitizations exposed to Hurricanes Milton, Helene face limited performance risk

Most securitizations have significant geographic diversification and exposed deals will likely be protected by servicer support, insurance coverage, deal structures and other mitigants.

  • Commercial Real Estate
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blog

Oct 15, 2024

 Moody's
Hurricane Milton: Live Blog

Hurricane Milton - over 40 blog update posts covering Milton from its development, landfall, and post-event analysis.

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research

Oct 11, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Timely recovery of Hurricane Milton costs will be key to Florida utility credit quality

Florida’s three major investor-owned utilities are likely to recover their storm costs in full but may have to do so over a longer period than the 12 months they are typically granted.

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research

Oct 10, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
(Re)insurers brace for significant losses from Hurricane Milton

Hurricane Milton brought damaging winds, life-threatening storm surge and heavy rainfall to Florida in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene.

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podcast

Oct 10, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Rising property insurance costs add to climate risk for US local governments

As hurricanes and wildfires become more frequent, the availability and affordability of home insurance is declining — threatening property values and tax revenues in the most disaster-prone states.

  • Insurance
  • Property & Casualty Insurance
  • Climate Risk
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article

Oct 11, 2024

 Moody's
Milton was not the worst case, but it packed a mighty economic punch

In the wake of Hurricane Milton, we estimate lost output of $10 billion to $15 billion and damage between $40 billion and $70 billion for a price tag that will wind up between $50 billion and $85 billion.

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research

Oct 01, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
Storm cost recovery provisions to mitigate Hurricane Helene's financial impact on investor-owned utilities

Supportive regulatory frameworks and storm cost recovery mechanisms may mitigate the financial impact of Hurricane Helene-related restoration costs on investor-owned electric utilities.

  • Property & Casualty Insurance
  • Insurance
  • Climate Risk
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research

Sep 29, 2024

 Moody's Ratings
P&C insurers face losses as Hurricane Helene strikes Florida

Hurricane Helene brought damaging winds, storm surge and flash flooding from heavy rainfall across Florida's Big Bend and neighboring states.

  • Property & Casualty Insurance
  • Insurance
  • Climate Risk
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article

Sep 25, 2024

 Moody's
Hurricane Helene: an estimated 161,856 commercial properties in direct path

Hurricane Helene’s projected track across Florida’s panhandle and the South has potential implications for public safety and business continuity. Moody’s hurricane tracker shows commercial real estate with a greater than 50% probability of facing wind speeds greater than 50 mph.

  • Property & Casualty Insurance
  • Insurance
  • Climate risk
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article

Sep 14, 2024

 Moody's
Recent hurricanes estimated to cause up to $55 billion in insured losses

Moody’s RMS Event Response estimates total U.S. private market insured losses from the recent Hurricanes Helene and Milton will likely range between $35 billion and $55 billion.

  • Property & Casualty Insurance
  • Insurance
  • Climate Risk
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article

Sep 11, 2024

 Moody's
Hurricane Francine: an estimated 78,498 commercial properties in direct path

The third to make landfall in the U.S. this year, hurricane Francine’s northerly track through Louisiana poses significant implications for public safety and business continuity. Moody’s hurricane tracker shows commercial real estate with a greater than 50% probability of facing wind speeds greater than 50 mph.

  • Property & Casualty Insurance
  • Insurance
  • Climate Risk
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